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Al Jahra vs Al Tadhamon Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Relegation Play-Off - 1 ·Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 17:45

Al Jahra

PPG 0.63 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Tadhamon

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-113.6%0-28.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.9%1-113.3%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.3%2-16.5%2-23.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.7%3-12.1%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 28.4% 3.20 -5.5%

Draw 28.9% 3.35 -1.9%

Away win 42.7% 2.10 -10.3%

Over 2.5 45.3% 1.85 -16.2%

Over 3.5 25.8% 3.20 -10.5%

BTTS 48.5% 1.67 -19.0%

Win probability 1X2

Al Jahra (H) 28.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -5.5%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.9%

Al Tadhamon (A) 42.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -10.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 13.6%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jahra1.0

Al Tadhamon1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.3% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.63

AL TADHAMON · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.89)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jahra face Al Tadhamon in Kuwait - Premier League on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jahra a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Al Tadhamon 43%, so Al Tadhamon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Jahra and 1.2 for Al Tadhamon (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jahra are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.89 for Al Tadhamon. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +0.1%.

Al Jahra vs Al Tadhamon Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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