Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Fahaheel vs Al Salmiyah

Al Fahaheel vs Al Salmiyah Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 17 ·Thursday, May 28, 2026, 16:20

Al Fahaheel

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Salmiyah

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-114.1%0-210.3%0-35.0%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.5%1-112.4%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.7%2-15.4%2-23.9%2-31.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.1%3-11.6%3-21.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.9% 31.7% 3.15 -12.9%

Draw 27.5% 31.3% 3.20 -7.2%

Away win 47.6% 45.9% 2.18 +3.8%

Over 2.5 47.6% 46.5% 2.15 +2.3%

Over 3.5 25.1% 25.0% 4.00 +0.2%

BTTS 51.6% 54.1% 1.85 -4.5%

Home O1.5 21.8% 32.3% 3.10 -19.4%

Away O1.5 42.9% 42.0% 2.38 +2.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob51.6%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 14.1%

#3 0–0 9.7%

#4 0–2✓ 10.3%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fahaheel0.9

Al Salmiyah1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 1.25

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Al Fahaheel (H) 24.9%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -12.9%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -7.2%

Al Salmiyah (A) 47.6%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV +3.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fahaheel face Al Salmiyah in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, May 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fahaheel a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Al Salmiyah 48%, so Al Salmiyah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Fahaheel and 1.5 for Al Salmiyah (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fahaheel are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Al Salmiyah. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Al Fahaheel vs Al Salmiyah Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions