Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Nasar vs Kazma

Al Nasar vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 17:45

Al Nasar

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Kazma

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.2%0-117.7%0-29.6%0-33.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.8%1-112.9%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.3%2-14.7%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.1%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% 28.6% 3.50 +2.6%

Draw 32.4% 29.9% 3.35 +8.5%

Away win 37.8% 50.5% 1.98 -25.2%

Over 2.5 37.8% 52.6% 1.90 -28.2%

Over 3.5 21.6% 31.3% 3.20 -18.5%

BTTS 47.8% 59.9% 1.67 -20.2%

Home O1.5 33.0% 33.9% 2.95 -2.6%

Away O1.5 32.8% 50.0% 2.00 -34.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.8%

D 32% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.2%

#2 0–1 17.7%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 11.8%

#5 0–2 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Nasar0.7

Kazma1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL NASAR · PPG 0.75

KAZMA · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Al Nasar (H) 29.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +2.6%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +8.5%

Kazma (A) 37.8%

ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -25.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Nasar face Kazma in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Nasar a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Kazma 38%, so Kazma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Al Nasar and 1.1 for Kazma (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Nasar are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Kazma. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Nasar vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions