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Al Arabi SC vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 17:45

Al Arabi SC

PPG 1.88 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-111.4%0-25.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.1%1-113.3%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.3%2-17.8%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-13.0%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% 41.7% 2.40 -3.5%

Draw 29.6% 31.3% 3.20 -3.2%

Away win 30.1% 36.0% 2.78 -16.3%

Over 2.5 47.1% 50.0% 2.00 -5.8%

Over 3.5 28.1% 28.6% 3.50 -1.0%

BTTS 47.8% 57.8% 1.73 -17.3%

Home O1.5 38.6% 42.0% 2.38 -8.1%

Away O1.5 26.6% 37.7% 2.65 -17.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

H 40% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0✓ 12.1%

#3 1–0 14.1%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Arabi SC1.2

Al Qadsia0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ARABI SC · PPG 1.88

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Al Arabi SC (H) 40.2%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -3.5%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.2%

Al Qadsia (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -16.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Arabi SC face Al Qadsia in Kuwait - Premier League on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Arabi SC a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Al Qadsia 30%, so Al Arabi SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Arabi SC and 0.9 for Al Qadsia (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Arabi SC are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.50 for Al Qadsia. This match finished 0-0.

Al Arabi SC vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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