Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra

Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 16:20

Al Qadsia

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Al Jahra

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-11.7%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.9%1-14.9%1-21.4%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.1%2-17.3%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.9%3-17.1%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-019.6%4+-110.8%4+-23.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.9% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 9.4% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 79.2% — — —

Away O1.5 10.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.2%

H 69% / xG 2.9-0.6 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.1%

#2 3–0✓ 12.9%

#3 4–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Qadsia2.9

Al Jahra0.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL QADSIA · PPG 2.00

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Al Qadsia (H) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Jahra (A) 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Qadsia face Al Jahra in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Qadsia a 69% chance, the draw 22% and Al Jahra 9%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Al Qadsia and 0.6 for Al Jahra (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Qadsia are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.38 for Al Jahra. This match finished 3-0.

Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions