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Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 17:45

Al Salmiyah

PPG 2.13 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Al Kuwait

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-116.1%0-210.0%0-34.1%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.4%1-112.9%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.2%2-15.2%2-23.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.1%3-11.4%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% 17.4% 5.75 +39.0%

Draw 28.9% 25.3% 3.95 +8.5%

Away win 42.4% 66.2% 1.51 -36.0%

Over 2.5 46.8% 55.6% 1.80 -15.8%

Over 3.5 28.0% 33.3% 3.00 -9.6%

BTTS 47.8% 54.6% 1.83 -12.5%

Home O1.5 33.0% 25.0% 4.00 +32.0%

Away O1.5 33.0% 61.7% 1.62 -46.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.8%

A 42% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 13.0%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–0 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Salmiyah0.8

Al Kuwait1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 2.13

AL KUWAIT · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.13), Away EXCELLENT (2.14)

Win probability 1X2

Al Salmiyah (H) 28.7%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +39.0%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +8.5%

Al Kuwait (A) 42.4%

ODDS 1.51 · IMPLIED 66.2% EV -36.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Salmiyah face Al Kuwait in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Salmiyah a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Al Kuwait 42%, so Al Kuwait are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Salmiyah and 1.2 for Al Kuwait (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Salmiyah are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 2.14 for Al Kuwait. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +39.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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