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Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 16:20

Al Shabab

PPG 0.86 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Al Tadhamon

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-113.3%0-27.1%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.7%1-113.5%1-27.2%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.5%2-16.9%2-23.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.2%3-12.3%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.2% 42.0% 2.38 -25.7%

Draw 27.4% 30.3% 3.30 -5.8%

Away win 41.4% 36.8% 2.72 +12.6%

Over 2.5 46.2% 51.3% 1.95 -9.9%

Over 3.5 27.7% 28.6% 3.50 -1.8%

BTTS 47.2% 57.8% 1.73 -18.3%

Home O1.5 27.0% 42.6% 2.35 -21.9%

Away O1.5 28.7% 38.5% 2.60 -15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.2%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.7%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Shabab1.0

Al Tadhamon1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHABAB · PPG 0.86

AL TADHAMON · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Al Shabab (H) 31.2%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -25.7%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.8%

Al Tadhamon (A) 41.4%

ODDS 2.72 · IMPLIED 36.8% EV +12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Shabab face Al Tadhamon in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Shabab a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Al Tadhamon 41%, so Al Tadhamon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Shabab and 1.1 for Al Tadhamon (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Shabab are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.63 for Al Tadhamon. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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