Leagues / KUWAIT / Premier League
Premier League
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 33 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
63.6%
1X2
21/33
57.6%
O/U 2.5
19/33
57.6%
BTTS
19/33
63.6%
Exact score
21/33
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
18
Settled
44.4%
Hit rate
8/18
1.58
Avg odds
-31.1%
ROI
-5.6u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=8 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.63 · -19.9% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.34 · -13.6% ROI
BTTS · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -44.3% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.76 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+45.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
14
Bets
43%
Hit
-32.1%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 9 PICKS · 4 HIT · 5 MISS
29 JUN Al Qadsia vs Al Kuwait BTTS -7% 0–0 MISS29 JUN Kazma vs Al Salmiyah — NO PICK 3–0 —29 JUN Al Arabi SC vs Al Fahaheel Home -20% 3–0 HIT26 JUN Al Nasar vs Al Jahra Home -25% 1–1 MISS26 JUN Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab Home +16% 1–3 MISS25 JUN Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia Over 2.5 -7% 0–2 MISS25 JUN Al Kuwait vs Kazma Home -20% 0–0 MISS25 JUN Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi SC — NO PICK 1–0 —22 JUN Al Salmiyah vs Al Fahaheel Home +1% 2–1 HIT22 JUN Al Kuwait vs Al Arabi SC Home +5% 3–2 HIT22 JUN Al Qadsia vs Kazma — NO PICK 1–2 —19 JUN Al Fahaheel vs Kazma BTTS -12% 1–1 HIT19 JUN Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait — NO PICK 3–3 —19 JUN Al Arabi SC vs Al Qadsia — NO PICK 2–0 —17 JUN Al Shabab vs Al Nasar — NO PICK 0–3 —