Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Jahra vs Al Arabi SC

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi SC Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 16:15

Al Jahra

PPG 0.57 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Al Arabi SC

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 64.7% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-116.1%0-216.4%0-311.2%0-4+9.2%1 1-03.9%1-18.0%1-28.2%1-35.6%1-4+4.6%2 2-01.0%2-12.0%2-22.1%2-31.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.2%3-10.3%3-20.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.1% 6.7% 15.00 +57.9%

Draw 22.2% 16.9% 5.90 +18.6%

Away win 64.7% 85.5% 1.17 -24.3%

Over 2.5 47.6% 65.4% 1.53 -27.2%

Over 3.5 25.2% 43.5% 2.30 -25.2%

BTTS 46.2% 46.5% 2.15 -0.7%

Home O1.5 9.0% 14.3% 7.00 -22.2%

Away O1.5 60.6% 78.1% 1.28 -22.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob46.2%

A 65% / xG 0.5-2.0 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 16.4%

#2 0–1 16.1%

#3 0–3 11.2%

#4 1–1✓ 8.0%

#5 0–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jahra0.5

Al Arabi SC2.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.57

AL ARABI SC · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jahra (H) 13.1%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +57.9%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 5.90 · IMPLIED 16.9% EV +18.6%

Al Arabi SC (A) 64.7%

ODDS 1.17 · IMPLIED 85.5% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jahra face Al Arabi SC in Kuwait - Premier League on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jahra a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Al Arabi SC 65%, so Al Arabi SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Al Jahra and 2.0 for Al Arabi SC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jahra are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.00 for Al Arabi SC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +57.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi SC Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions