Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Tadhamon vs Al Fahaheel

Al Tadhamon vs Al Fahaheel Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 17:45

Al Tadhamon

PPG 0.88 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Al Fahaheel

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.2%0-24.9%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.5%1-111.4%1-27.7%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.7%2-19.0%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.5%3-14.7%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 29.0% 3.45 +60.1%

Draw 25.2% 29.0% 3.45 -7.8%

Away win 28.4% 50.8% 1.97 -26.4%

Over 2.5 60.6% 55.6% 1.80 +9.1%

Over 3.5 36.9% 33.9% 2.95 +8.9%

BTTS 59.3% 60.6% 1.65 -2.2%

Home O1.5 49.3% 35.7% 2.80 +38.0%

Away O1.5 33.0% 51.8% 1.93 -36.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.3%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 1–0✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Tadhamon1.6

Al Fahaheel1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL TADHAMON · PPG 0.88

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Al Tadhamon (H) 46.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +60.1%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -7.8%

Al Fahaheel (A) 28.4%

ODDS 1.97 · IMPLIED 50.8% EV -26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Tadhamon face Al Fahaheel in Kuwait - Premier League on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Tadhamon a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Al Fahaheel 28%, so Al Tadhamon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Tadhamon and 1.3 for Al Fahaheel (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Tadhamon are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.00 for Al Fahaheel. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +60.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Al Tadhamon vs Al Fahaheel Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions