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Al Shabab vs Al Jahra Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Thursday, June 11, 2026, 17:45

Al Shabab

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Al Jahra

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-111.3%0-25.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.8%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.7%2-17.8%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.4%3-13.1%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 50.5% 1.98 -11.3%

Draw 28.1% 29.4% 3.40 -2.7%

Away win 27.1% 29.0% 3.45 -3.9%

Over 2.5 47.1% 52.6% 1.90 -10.5%

Over 3.5 28.1% 31.3% 3.20 -6.0%

BTTS 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%

Home O1.5 38.6% 50.0% 2.00 -22.8%

Away O1.5 26.6% 33.9% 2.95 -12.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 1–0✓ 14.8%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Shabab1.2

Al Jahra0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHABAB · PPG 0.75

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Al Shabab (H) 44.8%

ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -11.3%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -2.7%

Al Jahra (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Shabab face Al Jahra in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Shabab a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Al Jahra 27%, so Al Shabab are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Shabab and 0.9 for Al Jahra (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Shabab are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.33 for Al Jahra. This match finished 1-0.

Al Shabab vs Al Jahra Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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