Today / Lithuania - A Lyga / Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga

Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Regular Season - 20 ·Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 16:00

Kauno Zalgiris

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Banga

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-110.6%0-24.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.8%1-112.8%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-17.8%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.1%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 1.62 -27.6%

Draw 31.6% 3.40 +7.4%

Away win 23.8% 5.00 +11.4%

Over 2.5 37.4% 1.95 -27.1%

Over 3.5 19.1% 3.40 -21.0%

BTTS 48.5% 1.91 -7.4%

Win probability 1X2

Kauno Zalgiris (H) 44.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -27.6%

Draw 31.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +7.4%

Banga (A) 23.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +11.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -28.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.9%

#2 1–0 16.8%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kauno Zalgiris1.2

Banga0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KAUNO ZALGIRIS · PPG 1.67

BANGA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Match Preview & Prediction

Kauno Zalgiris face Banga in Lithuania - A Lyga on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kauno Zalgiris a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Banga 24%, so Kauno Zalgiris are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.8 for Banga (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kauno Zalgiris are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Banga. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.4%.

Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Lithuania - A Lyga Predictions