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Suduva vs Siauliai Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Regular Season - 20 ·Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 15:30

Suduva

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Siauliai

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=54.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-17.0%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.5%1-110.7%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.2%2-18.3%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.3%3-14.2%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-12.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 54.9% — —

Draw 24.8% — —

Away win 20.4% — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Suduva (H) 54.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Siauliai (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -28.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 55% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%

#2 2–0 14.2%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 1–1 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suduva1.5

Siauliai0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDUVA · PPG 2.11

SIAULIAI · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=54.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suduva face Siauliai in Lithuania - A Lyga on Tuesday, June 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suduva a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Siauliai 20%, so Suduva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Suduva and 0.6 for Siauliai (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suduva are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.70 for Siauliai.

Suduva vs Siauliai Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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