Today / Sweden - Superettan / Landskrona vs United Nordic

Landskrona vs United Nordic Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 12 ·Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 17:00

Landskrona logo
Landskrona
PPG 1.20 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
United Nordic logo
United Nordic
PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.6%0-24.9%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.9%1-111.7%1-27.6%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.0%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.5%3-14.6%3-23.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 46.0% 2.30 +5.8%
Draw 25.1% 3.55 -6.5%
Away win 28.9% 2.85 -10.6%
Over 2.5 54.0% 1.67 -9.8%
Over 3.5 32.6% 2.65 -13.6%
BTTS 55.9% 1.53 -14.5%

Win probability 1X2

Landskrona (H) 46.0%
ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +5.8%
Draw 25.1%
ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -6.5%
United Nordic (A) 28.9%
ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -10.6%

League track record

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -7.4%
Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 1–2 7.6%
#4 0–0 5.8%
#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landskrona1.5
United Nordic1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.20

UNITED NORDIC · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Match Preview & Prediction

Landskrona face United Nordic in Sweden - Superettan on Tuesday, June 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landskrona a 46% chance, the draw 25% and United Nordic 29%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Landskrona and 1.3 for United Nordic (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landskrona are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.40 for United Nordic. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%.

PredictVantage

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