Today / Brazil - Serie C / Guarani Campinas vs Inter De Limeira

Guarani Campinas vs Inter De Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 15 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 23:00

Guarani Campinas

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter De Limeira

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-17.6%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.0%1-111.9%1-25.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.3%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.7%3-14.8%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Draw 25.1% 28.6% 3.50 -7.3%

Away win 20.3% 21.7% 4.60 -4.0%

Over 2.5 50.0% 51.8% 1.93 -3.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

BTTS 49.0% 54.6% 1.83 -10.3%

Home O1.5 47.8% 55.6% 1.80 -14.0%

Away O1.5 20.1% 27.0% 3.70 -15.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.0%

H 55% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 14.0%

#3 2–0 11.0%

#4 0–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guarani Campinas1.6

Inter De Limeira0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUARANI CAMPINAS · PPG 2.00

INTER DE LIMEIRA · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Guarani Campinas (H) 54.6%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -8.8%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.3%

Inter De Limeira (A) 20.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -4.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Guarani Campinas face Inter De Limeira in Brazil - Serie C on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guarani Campinas a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Inter De Limeira 20%, so Guarani Campinas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Guarani Campinas and 0.8 for Inter De Limeira (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guarani Campinas are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.29 for Inter De Limeira. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Guarani Campinas vs Inter De Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie C Predictions