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Volta Redonda vs Anápolis Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 22:00

Volta Redonda

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Anápolis

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-17.6%0-21.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-020.8%1-110.6%1-22.7%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.5%2-17.4%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-06.7%3-13.4%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-11.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.3% 57.1% 1.75 -3.2%

Draw 26.2% 30.8% 3.25 -8.9%

Away win 18.5% 25.0% 4.00 -15.6%

Over 2.5 39.3% 44.4% 2.25 -11.6%

Over 3.5 19.7% 25.0% 4.00 -12.7%

BTTS 46.4% 51.3% 1.95 -9.5%

Home O1.5 42.8% 50.0% 2.00 -14.4%

Away O1.5 19.1% 22.2% 4.50 -8.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -25.7%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.4%

H 55% / xG 1.4-0.5 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.8%

#2 0–0 15.0%

#3 2–0 14.5%

#4 1–1 10.6%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volta Redonda1.4

Anápolis0.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLTA REDONDA · PPG 2.00

ANÁPOLIS · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Volta Redonda (H) 55.3%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -3.2%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.9%

Anápolis (A) 18.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volta Redonda face Anápolis in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volta Redonda a 55% chance, the draw 26% and Anápolis 19%, so Volta Redonda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Volta Redonda and 0.5 for Anápolis (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volta Redonda are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Anápolis.

Volta Redonda vs Anápolis Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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