Charleston vs FC Tulsa Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Patriots Point Soccer Complex Saturday, June 13, 2026 23:30

Charleston PPG 2.60

VS PENDING

FC Tulsa PPG 1.60

Away· +40.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Charleston face FC Tulsa in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charleston a 41% chance, the draw 28% and FC Tulsa 31%, so Charleston are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Charleston and 1.1 for FC Tulsa (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charleston are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.60 for FC Tulsa. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +40.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.5%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -31.1%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -1.4%

Away 31.2%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +40.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.95 -4.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.45 -1.8%

BTTS 52.2% Odds: 1.83 -4.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-0

4th 0-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleston

1.26

FC Tulsa

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 14.2%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=40.5%