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Colorado Springs vs Charleston Battery Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 01:00

Colorado Springs

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Charleston Battery

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.8% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a clear edge.

+13.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.9%0-22.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.0%1-18.5%1-26.1%1-32.9%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.6%3-16.6%3-24.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.9%4+-24.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% 45.5% 2.20 +15.1%

Draw 21.8% 29.0% 3.45 -14.9%

Away win 25.9% 35.1% 2.85 -15.7%

Over 2.5 66.8% 58.8% 1.70 +13.6%

Over 3.5 44.5% 36.4% 2.75 +22.4%

BTTS 64.5% 64.5% 1.55 -0.0%

Home O1.5 61.8% 51.3% 1.95 +20.5%

Away O1.5 41.9% 43.5% 2.30 -3.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -0.8%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.5%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–1 6.6%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colorado Springs2.2

Charleston Battery1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COLORADO SPRINGS · PPG 1.75

CHARLESTON BATTERY · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Colorado Springs (H) 52.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +15.1%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -14.9%

Charleston Battery (A) 25.9%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colorado Springs face Charleston Battery in USA - USL Championship on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colorado Springs a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Charleston Battery 26%, so Colorado Springs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Colorado Springs and 1.4 for Charleston Battery (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colorado Springs are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.88 for Charleston Battery. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +37.5%.

Colorado Springs vs Charleston Battery Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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