Sporting JAX vs Detroit City Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Hodges Stadium Saturday, June 13, 2026 23:00

Sporting JAX PPG 0.40

VS PENDING

Detroit City PPG 0.33

Home· +64.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting JAX face Detroit City in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting JAX a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Detroit City 43%, so Detroit City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sporting JAX and 1.5 for Detroit City (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting JAX are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 0.33 for Detroit City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +64.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.4%

Odds: 5.25 EV: +64.8%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -2.5%

Away 43.4%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -32.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.3% Odds: 1.77 -3.9%

Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.95 -4.1%

BTTS 55.7% Odds: 1.77 -1.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-1

3rd 0-0

4th 1-2

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting JAX

1.03

Detroit City

1.52

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+64.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 14.2%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.40), Away POOR (0.33)