Pittsburgh vs Indy Eleven Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Highmark Stadium Saturday, June 13, 2026 23:00

Pittsburgh PPG 2.25

VS PENDING

Indy Eleven PPG 0.50

Away· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pittsburgh face Indy Eleven in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pittsburgh a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Indy Eleven 29%, so Pittsburgh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Pittsburgh and 1.2 for Indy Eleven (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pittsburgh are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.50 for Indy Eleven. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -22.1%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -3.5%

Away 29.4%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +7.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.80 -12.0%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.00 -9.4%

BTTS 53.4% Odds: 1.67 -10.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-0

4th 2-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Pittsburgh

1.38

Indy Eleven

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 14.2%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=43.3%