Lexington vs San Antonio Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Toyota Stadium Saturday, June 13, 2026 23:00

Lexington PPG 1.40

VS PENDING

San Antonio PPG 1.17

Over3.5· +16.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lexington face San Antonio in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lexington a 42% chance, the draw 24% and San Antonio 34%, so Lexington are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lexington and 1.3 for San Antonio (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lexington are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.17 for San Antonio. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.8%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -18.5%

Draw 24.0%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -11.0%

Away 34.1%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +14.2%

Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: 1.85 +1.9%

Over 3.5 36.4% Odds: 3.20 +16.5%

BTTS 59.2% Odds: 1.70 +0.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 2-1

4th 1-2

5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lexington

1.34

San Antonio

1.28

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.6% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+16.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 14.2%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.17)