Loudoun Utd vs Rhode Island Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Segra Field Saturday, June 13, 2026 22:00

Loudoun Utd PPG 0.83

VS PENDING

Rhode Island PPG 0.75

HomeO15· +24.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Loudoun Utd face Rhode Island in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Loudoun Utd a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Rhode Island 42%, so Rhode Island are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Loudoun Utd and 1.7 for Rhode Island (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Loudoun Utd are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.75 for Rhode Island. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +24.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.3%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +13.2%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -10.8%

Away 42.2%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -17.7%

Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.85 +12.1%

Over 3.5 37.9% Odds: 3.20 +21.3%

BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.70 +4.7%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-1

4th 2-2

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Loudoun Utd

1.46

Rhode Island

1.71

Model SuggestionBTTS +4.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: HomeO15(+24.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 14.2%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.83), Away POOR (0.75)