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Longford Town vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 18:30

Longford Town

PPG 1.56 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-112.3%0-25.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.7%1-113.3%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.5%2-17.2%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.1%3-12.6%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 40.7% 2.46 +0.1%

Draw 31.1% 29.9% 3.35 +4.2%

Away win 28.2% 36.5% 2.74 -13.6%

Over 2.5 43.2% 50.0% 2.00 -13.6%

Over 3.5 22.8% 28.6% 3.50 -12.1%

BTTS 47.8% 57.8% 1.73 -17.3%

Home O1.5 36.8% 42.0% 2.38 -12.4%

Away O1.5 24.3% 39.2% 2.55 -22.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -5.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.8%

H 41% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 15.7%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Longford Town1.1

Cobh Ramblers0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LONGFORD TOWN · PPG 1.56

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Longford Town (H) 40.7%

ODDS 2.46 · IMPLIED 40.7% EV +0.1%

Draw 31.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +4.2%

Cobh Ramblers (A) 28.2%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Longford Town face Cobh Ramblers in Ireland - First Division on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Longford Town a 41% chance, the draw 31% and Cobh Ramblers 28%, so Longford Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Longford Town and 0.8 for Cobh Ramblers (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Longford Town are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.67 for Cobh Ramblers. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Longford Town vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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