Flora vs Levadia Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 15 A. Le Coq Arena· Tallinn Saturday, June 13, 2026 16:00

Flora PPG 2.50

VS PENDING

Levadia PPG 2.71

Home· +29.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Flora face Levadia in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flora a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Levadia 42%, so Levadia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Flora and 1.5 for Levadia (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flora are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.71 for Levadia. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +29.8%

Draw 23.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -11.9%

Away 41.8%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -28.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.6% Odds: 1.57 -0.1%

Over 3.5 39.8% Odds: 2.38 -5.3%

BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.55 -4.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-1

4th 0-0

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Flora

1.44

Levadia

1.48

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+29.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.50), Away EXCELLENT (2.71)