Trollhattan vs Kristianstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 12 Edsborgs IP Saturday, June 13, 2026 14:00

Trollhattan PPG 0.50

VS PENDING

Kristianstad PPG 1.17

Away· +23.2% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trollhattan face Kristianstad in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trollhattan a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Kristianstad 36%, so Trollhattan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Trollhattan and 1.5 for Kristianstad (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trollhattan are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.17 for Kristianstad. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.0%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -26.0%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -6.8%

Away 35.7%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +23.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.55 -0.5%

Over 3.5 39.8% Odds: 2.38 -5.3%

BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.48 -8.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Trollhattan

1.57

Kristianstad

1.52

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -8.1%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs Home POOR (0.50)