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Eskilsminne vs Trollhattan Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 13 ·Thursday, June 18, 2026, 17:00

Eskilsminne

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Trollhattan

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.8%0-23.5%0-32.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.3%1-17.8%1-27.1%1-34.3%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.4%2-18.0%2-27.3%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-03.0%3-15.4%3-24.9%3-33.0%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-14.4%4+-24.0%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 43.8% 2.10 -8.0%

Draw 21.6% 3.65 -12.7%

Away win 34.5% 2.85 -1.7%

Over 2.5 65.9% 1.48 -2.5%

Over 3.5 45.4% 2.20 -0.1%

BTTS 66.7% 1.42 -5.3%

Win probability 1X2

Eskilsminne (H) 43.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -8.0%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -12.7%

Trollhattan (A) 34.5%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -1.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -10.8%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.7%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilsminne2.0

Trollhattan1.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSMINNE · PPG 1.33

TROLLHATTAN · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.60)

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilsminne face Trollhattan in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Thursday, June 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilsminne a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Trollhattan 35%, so Eskilsminne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Eskilsminne and 1.8 for Trollhattan (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilsminne are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.60 for Trollhattan. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Eskilsminne vs Trollhattan Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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