Today / Sweden - Ettan - Södra / Eskilsminne vs Kristianstad

Eskilsminne vs Kristianstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 15 ·Wednesday, July 1, 2026, 17:00

Eskilsminne

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kristianstad

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-16.5%0-23.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.3%1-111.1%1-26.6%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.6%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.6%3-15.5%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.5%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 54.1% 1.85 -11.2%

Draw 24.7% 27.4% 3.65 -5.9%

Away win 27.3% 29.0% 3.45 -3.5%

Over 2.5 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Over 3.5 35.1% 42.0% 2.38 -16.5%

BTTS 55.6% 67.6% 1.48 -17.7%

Home O1.5 53.6% 59.9% 1.67 -10.5%

Away O1.5 37.9% 42.0% 2.38 -9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.6%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilsminne1.7

Kristianstad1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.6% · O3.5 PROB 35.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSMINNE · PPG 1.57

KRISTIANSTAD · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Eskilsminne (H) 48.0%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -11.2%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.9%

Kristianstad (A) 27.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilsminne face Kristianstad in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Wednesday, July 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilsminne a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Kristianstad 27%, so Eskilsminne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Eskilsminne and 1.2 for Kristianstad (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilsminne are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.14 for Kristianstad. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +0.4%.

Eskilsminne vs Kristianstad Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Södra Predictions