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Trollhattan vs Angelholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 14 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:00

Trollhattan

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Angelholm

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.9%0-26.6%0-34.3%0-4+3.2%1 1-05.0%1-19.7%1-29.3%1-36.0%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.5%2-16.8%2-26.5%2-34.2%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.6%3-13.2%3-23.1%3-32.0%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 31.1% 2.20 -31.6%

Draw 23.2% 3.65 -9.2%

Away win 45.7% 2.75 +25.7%

Over 2.5 64.4% 1.53 -1.5%

Over 3.5 41.8% 2.35 -1.8%

BTTS 62.0% 1.44 -10.7%

Home Over 1.5 43.5% 1.80 -21.7%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 2.05 +1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -0.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.0%

A 46% / xG 1.4-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 6.8%

#4 0–2 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trollhattan1.4

Angelholm1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TROLLHATTAN · PPG 0.57

ANGELHOLM · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Trollhattan (H) 31.1%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -31.6%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -9.2%

Angelholm (A) 45.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +25.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trollhattan face Angelholm in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trollhattan a 31% chance, the draw 23% and Angelholm 46%, so Angelholm are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Trollhattan and 1.9 for Angelholm (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trollhattan are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.33 for Angelholm. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.7%.

Trollhattan vs Angelholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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