Jarfalla vs Arlanda Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 12 Jarfallavallen Saturday, June 13, 2026 14:00

Jarfalla PPG 1.20

VS PENDING

Arlanda PPG 2.20

Away + Over 2.5· +13.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jarfalla face Arlanda in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jarfalla a 16% chance, the draw 22% and Arlanda 61%, so Arlanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Jarfalla and 2.1 for Arlanda (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jarfalla are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 2.20 for Arlanda. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.4%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -21.6%

Draw 22.3%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -10.5%

Away 61.4%

Odds: 1.75 EV: +7.4%

Model lean: Away

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.62 -1.8%

Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.50 -7.2%

BTTS 53.3% Odds: 1.55 -17.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2

2nd 1-1

3rd 0-1

4th 1-2

5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Jarfalla

0.79

Arlanda

2.08

Model SuggestionAway +7.4% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 
Raw EV leader: Away + Over 2.5(+13.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -25.3%

Bet Hit 42% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)