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Sollentuna vs AFC Eskilstuna Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 14 ·Friday, June 26, 2026, 17:00

Sollentuna

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

AFC Eskilstuna

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-111.1%0-27.3%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.8%1-112.8%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.7%2-17.5%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.2%3-12.9%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 34.8% 2.25 -21.7%

Draw 27.0% 3.55 -2.5%

Away win 38.2% 2.70 +3.1%

Over 2.5 52.4% 1.55 -18.8%

Over 3.5 31.1% 2.38 -26.0%

BTTS 55.8% 1.45 -19.1%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 1.83 -35.0%

Away Over 1.5 38.9% 2.05 -20.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -9.3%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.8%

A 38% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sollentuna1.2

AFC Eskilstuna1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SOLLENTUNA · PPG 0.50

AFC ESKILSTUNA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Sollentuna (H) 34.8%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -21.7%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -2.5%

AFC Eskilstuna (A) 38.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sollentuna face AFC Eskilstuna in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Friday, June 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sollentuna a 35% chance, the draw 27% and AFC Eskilstuna 38%, so AFC Eskilstuna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sollentuna and 1.3 for AFC Eskilstuna (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sollentuna are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.33 for AFC Eskilstuna. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 1-4.

Sollentuna vs AFC Eskilstuna Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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