Today / Sweden - Ettan - Norra / Stockholm Inter vs Enkoping

Stockholm Inter vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra · Matchday 14 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:00

Stockholm Inter

PPG 1.86 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Enkoping

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.1%0-23.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.4%1-19.9%1-26.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.6%3-16.1%3-24.1%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.6%4+-23.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 69.4% 1.44 -28.3%

Draw 23.0% 22.7% 4.40 +0.7%

Away win 27.1% 17.4% 5.75 +33.5%

Over 2.5 64.1% 65.4% 1.53 -1.9%

Over 3.5 39.8% 42.6% 2.35 -6.5%

BTTS 61.6% 60.6% 1.65 +1.6%

Home O1.5 54.4% 70.4% 1.42 -22.8%

Away O1.5 38.9% 29.9% 3.35 +30.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0✓ 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockholm Inter1.9

Enkoping1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKHOLM INTER · PPG 1.86

ENKOPING · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Stockholm Inter (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -28.3%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +0.7%

Enkoping (A) 27.1%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +33.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockholm Inter face Enkoping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockholm Inter a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Enkoping 27%, so Stockholm Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Stockholm Inter and 1.3 for Enkoping (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockholm Inter are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.80 for Enkoping. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Stockholm Inter vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Norra Predictions