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Stockholm Inter vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 14 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:00

Stockholm Inter logo
Stockholm Inter
PPG 1.86 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Enkoping logo
Enkoping
PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.1%0-23.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.4%1-19.9%1-26.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.6%3-16.1%3-24.1%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.6%4+-23.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 49.8% 1.44 -28.3%
Draw 23.0% 4.40 +0.7%
Away win 27.1% 5.75 +33.5%
Over 2.5 64.1% 1.53 -1.9%
Over 3.5 39.8% 2.35 -6.5%
BTTS 61.6% 1.65 +1.6%
Home Over 1.5 54.4% 1.42 -22.8%
Away Over 1.5 38.9% 3.35 +30.3%

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 35%
ROI -9.3%
Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%
#2 2–1 9.5%
#3 2–0 7.1%
#4 1–2 6.6%
#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockholm Inter1.9
Enkoping1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKHOLM INTER · PPG 1.86

ENKOPING · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Stockholm Inter (H) 49.8%
ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -28.3%
Draw 23.0%
ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +0.7%
Enkoping (A) 27.1%
ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +33.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockholm Inter face Enkoping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockholm Inter a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Enkoping 27%, so Stockholm Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Stockholm Inter and 1.3 for Enkoping (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockholm Inter are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.80 for Enkoping. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.5%.

PredictVantage

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