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Volsungur vs Njardvik Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 14:00

Volsungur

PPG 0.25 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Njardvik

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-117.1%0-214.0%0-37.6%0-4+4.5%1 1-06.5%1-110.6%1-28.7%1-34.7%1-4+2.8%2 2-02.0%2-13.3%2-22.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% 17.9% 5.60 -13.0%

Draw 24.2% 21.7% 4.60 +6.8%

Away win 61.7% 71.4% 1.40 -13.6%

Over 2.5 48.9% 70.4% 1.42 -30.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 47.6% 2.10 -24.6%

BTTS 47.8% 64.5% 1.55 -25.9%

Home O1.5 33.0% 33.3% 3.00 -1.0%

Away O1.5 49.4% 74.1% 1.35 -33.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 29%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob47.8%

A 62% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 49% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.1%

#2 0–2 14.0%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volsungur0.6

Njardvik1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLSUNGUR · PPG 0.25

NJARDVIK · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Volsungur (H) 14.0%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV -13.0%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +6.8%

Njardvik (A) 61.7%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volsungur face Njardvik in Iceland - 1. Deild on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volsungur a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Njardvik 62%, so Njardvik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Volsungur and 1.6 for Njardvik (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volsungur are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Njardvik. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Volsungur vs Njardvik Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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