Leiknir R. vs Vestri Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild

Iceland - 1. Deild Regular Season - 9 Saturday, June 13, 2026 14:00

Leiknir R. PPG 1.33

VS PENDING

Vestri PPG 1.50

HomeO15· +9.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Leiknir R. face Vestri in Iceland - 1. Deild on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leiknir R. a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Vestri 31%, so Leiknir R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Leiknir R. and 1.5 for Vestri (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leiknir R. are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Vestri. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +9.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.1%

Odds: 2.30 EV: +6.0%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -9.9%

Away 30.7%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -21.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.53 -1.8%

Over 3.5 41.6% Odds: 2.35 -2.2%

BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.44 -8.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Leiknir R.

1.86

Vestri

1.53

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 86%

BTTS/No 71%

Score Hit 14%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.50)