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P-Iirot vs Honka Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Group B ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 14:00

P-Iirot

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Honka

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-18.9%0-28.4%0-35.3%0-4+3.8%1 1-05.5%1-110.4%1-29.8%1-36.1%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.2%2-16.1%2-25.7%2-33.6%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.3%3-12.4%3-22.2%3-31.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% 20.0% 5.00 +24.9%

Draw 23.0% 21.1% 4.75 +5.5%

Away win 48.7% 71.4% 1.40 -31.8%

Over 2.5 60.9% 73.5% 1.36 -17.2%

Over 3.5 39.2% 54.6% 1.83 -28.3%

BTTS 61.0% 66.7% 1.50 -8.5%

Home O1.5 38.6% 33.3% 3.00 +15.8%

Away O1.5 49.4% 75.2% 1.33 -34.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob61.0%

A 49% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.4%

#4 0–1 8.9%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P-Iirot1.2

Honka1.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

P-IIROT · PPG 3.00

HONKA · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (3.00), Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Win probability 1X2

P-Iirot (H) 28.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +24.9%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +5.5%

Honka (A) 48.7%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -31.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

P-Iirot face Honka in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P-Iirot a 28% chance, the draw 23% and Honka 49%, so Honka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for P-Iirot and 1.9 for Honka (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P-Iirot are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Honka. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.9%. This match finished 1-5.

P-Iirot vs Honka Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Match Preview & Prediction

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