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MuSa vs P-Iirot Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Group B ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 13:00

MuSa

PPG 0.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

P-Iirot

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.4%0-27.9%0-36.5%0-4+7.3%1 1-03.1%1-17.6%1-29.4%1-37.7%1-4+8.6%2 2-01.8%2-14.5%2-25.5%2-34.5%2-4+5.0%3 3-00.7%3-11.8%3-22.2%3-31.8%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 26.3% 5.00 +18.9%

Draw 20.2% 4.20 -9.1%

Away win 53.5% 1.44 -23.0%

Over 2.5 65.9% 1.33 -12.3%

Over 3.5 42.7% 1.80 -23.1%

BTTS 61.6% 1.40 -13.8%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 2.50 -11.3%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.33 -7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -42.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob61.6%

A 54% / xG 1.2-2.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.4%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 0–2 7.9%

#4 1–3 7.7%

#5 0–3 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MuSa1.2

P-Iirot2.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MUSA · PPG 0.25

P-IIROT · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.25), Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

MuSa (H) 26.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +18.9%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -9.1%

P-Iirot (A) 53.5%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

MuSa face P-Iirot in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MuSa a 26% chance, the draw 20% and P-Iirot 54%, so P-Iirot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for MuSa and 2.5 for P-Iirot (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MuSa are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.25 for P-Iirot. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.9%.

MuSa vs P-Iirot Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Match Preview & Prediction

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