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HJS vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Group B ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

HJS

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

NJS

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.9% vs bookmaker-implied 90.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-12.2%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.5%1-16.1%1-22.2%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.8%2-18.5%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.8%3-17.8%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.5%4+-110.4%4+-23.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 67.9% 1.11 -24.6%

Draw 18.3% 8.00 +27.8%

Away win 13.8% 15.00 +64.2%

Over 2.5 64.6% 1.25 -19.3%

Over 3.5 41.8% 1.67 -30.2%

BTTS 52.8% 1.83 -3.4%

Home Over 1.5 63.0% 1.12 -29.4%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 5.25 +12.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -42.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.8%

H 68% / xG 2.8-0.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%

#2 3–0 10.8%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HJS2.8

NJS0.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HJS · PPG 1.00

NJS · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

HJS (H) 67.9%

ODDS 1.11 · IMPLIED 90.1% EV -24.6%

Draw 18.3%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +27.8%

NJS (A) 13.8%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +64.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

HJS face NJS in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HJS a 68% chance, the draw 18% and NJS 14%, so HJS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for HJS and 0.7 for NJS (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HJS are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.25 for NJS. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +64.2%.

HJS vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Match Preview & Prediction

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