Today / Finland - Veikkausliiga / VPS vs KuPS

VPS vs KuPS Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 14:00

VPS

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

KuPS

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-114.6%0-26.5%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.9%2-16.2%2-22.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.9%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 31.7% 3.15 +7.7%

Draw 31.7% 30.8% 3.25 +3.0%

Away win 34.1% 46.7% 2.14 -27.0%

Over 2.5 37.8% 50.0% 2.00 -24.4%

Over 3.5 18.9% 29.0% 3.45 -20.9%

BTTS 47.8% 57.8% 1.73 -17.3%

Home O1.5 33.0% 34.7% 2.88 -5.0%

Away O1.5 26.6% 46.5% 2.15 -25.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 25.6%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.3%

#2 1–1✓ 13.4%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 0–1 14.6%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VPS0.9

KuPS0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VPS · PPG 2.00

KUPS · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

VPS (H) 34.2%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +7.7%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +3.0%

KuPS (A) 34.1%

ODDS 2.14 · IMPLIED 46.7% EV -27.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

VPS face KuPS in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VPS a 34% chance, the draw 32% and KuPS 34%, so VPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for VPS and 0.9 for KuPS (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VPS are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for KuPS. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.7%. This match finished 1-1.

VPS vs KuPS Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Veikkausliiga Predictions