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FF Jaro vs SJK Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 16:00

FF Jaro

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-18.0%0-24.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.4%1-112.1%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.2%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.0%3-14.6%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 34.5% 2.90 +33.7%

Draw 26.5% 28.2% 3.55 -3.6%

Away win 27.5% 46.5% 2.15 -24.5%

Over 2.5 51.6% 61.7% 1.62 -16.4%

Over 3.5 30.3% 40.0% 2.50 -24.3%

BTTS 55.4% 66.7% 1.50 -16.9%

Home O1.5 46.3% 44.4% 2.25 +4.2%

Away O1.5 36.4% 54.1% 1.85 -32.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -4.8%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.9%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FF Jaro1.5

SJK1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FF JARO · PPG 1.25

SJK · PPG 0.75

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FF Jaro (H) 46.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +33.7%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -3.6%

SJK (A) 27.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

FF Jaro face SJK in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FF Jaro a 46% chance, the draw 27% and SJK 28%, so FF Jaro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for FF Jaro and 1.2 for SJK (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FF Jaro are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.75 for SJK. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +30.6%.

FF Jaro vs SJK Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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