Tammeka vs Vaprus Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 15 Tamme Stadium· Tartu Saturday, June 13, 2026 14:00

Tammeka PPG 1.29

VS PENDING

Vaprus PPG 1.29

HomeO15· +0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tammeka face Vaprus in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tammeka a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Vaprus 27%, so Tammeka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Tammeka and 1.3 for Vaprus (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tammeka are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.29 for Vaprus. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +0.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.1%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -10.2%

Draw 23.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -10.2%

Away 27.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -2.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.60 -3.0%

Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: 2.38 -8.1%

BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.55 -4.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 2-0

4th 1-0

5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Tammeka

1.74

Vaprus

1.27

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+0.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.29)