Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Ull.Kisa vs Grorud

Ull.Kisa vs Grorud Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 12:00

Ull.Kisa

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Grorud

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 80.9% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5% — a clear edge.

+11.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.3%0-25.2%0-35.3%0-4+9.0%1 1-01.5%1-14.8%1-27.4%1-37.6%1-4+12.9%2 2-01.1%2-13.4%2-25.3%2-35.5%2-4+9.2%3 3-00.5%3-11.6%3-22.5%3-32.6%3-4+4.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-21.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.2% 23.8% 4.20 -19.2%

Draw 18.1% 23.8% 4.20 -14.4%

Away win 65.7% 62.5% 1.60 +5.1%

Over 2.5 73.0% 74.1% 1.35 -1.5%

Over 3.5 53.4% 54.1% 1.85 -1.2%

BTTS 63.7% 73.5% 1.36 -13.4%

Home O1.5 41.6% 44.4% 2.25 -6.4%

Away O1.5 80.9% 72.5% 1.38 +11.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob63.7%

A 66% / xG 1.4-3.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.6%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 1–4 5.9%

#4 2–3 5.5%

#5 1–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ull.Kisa1.4

Grorud3.1

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ULL.KISA · PPG 0.75

GRORUD · PPG 1.75

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Ull.Kisa (H) 16.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -19.2%

Draw 18.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -14.4%

Grorud (A) 65.7%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ull.Kisa face Grorud in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ull.Kisa a 16% chance, the draw 18% and Grorud 66%, so Grorud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ull.Kisa and 3.1 for Grorud (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ull.Kisa are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Grorud. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Ull.Kisa vs Grorud Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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