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Levanger vs Ull/Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:00

Levanger

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ull/Kisa

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.8% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.6%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.8%1-12.6%1-21.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.6%2-15.2%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.5%3-17.1%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-022.5%4+-121.2%4+-29.9%4+-33.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.3% 78.1% 1.28 -6.2%

Draw 17.3% 17.9% 5.60 -1.9%

Away win 9.5% 13.5% 7.40 -17.8%

Over 2.5 72.6% 80.0% 1.25 -9.3%

Over 3.5 53.4% 60.6% 1.65 -11.9%

BTTS 55.4% 69.0% 1.45 -19.7%

Home O1.5 77.8% 84.7% 1.18 -8.2%

Away O1.5 27.1% 35.1% 2.85 -13.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 73% / xG 4.0-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 7.6%

#2 3–0 7.5%

#3 4–1 7.2%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 5–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levanger4.0

Ull/Kisa0.9

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVANGER · PPG 1.80

ULL/KISA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.11 for Home, form 1.80 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Levanger (H) 73.3%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -6.2%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV -1.9%

Ull/Kisa (A) 9.5%

ODDS 7.40 · IMPLIED 13.5% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levanger face Ull/Kisa in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levanger a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Ull/Kisa 10%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.0 for Levanger and 0.9 for Ull/Kisa (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levanger are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.50 for Ull/Kisa.

Levanger vs Ull/Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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