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Tromsdalen Uil vs Follo Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 15:00

Tromsdalen Uil

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Follo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.5%0-22.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.9%1-18.1%1-25.5%1-32.5%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.8%2-19.2%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.2%3-17.1%3-24.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-16.9%4+-24.7%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 66.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 63.9% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.9%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tromsdalen Uil2.3

Follo1.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TROMSDALEN UIL · PPG 1.50

FOLLO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tromsdalen Uil (H) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Follo (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tromsdalen Uil face Follo in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tromsdalen Uil a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Follo 24%, so Tromsdalen Uil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Tromsdalen Uil and 1.4 for Follo (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tromsdalen Uil are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Follo.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Follo Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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