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Grorud vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:30

Grorud

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stjørdals-Blink

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.5%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.3%1-19.4%1-24.8%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.9%3-17.0%3-23.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-16.0%4+-23.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.0% 66.7% 1.50 -14.5%

Draw 22.5% 22.7% 4.40 -0.6%

Away win 20.4% 21.1% 4.75 -1.9%

Over 2.5 63.7% 70.4% 1.42 -9.6%

Over 3.5 41.3% 48.8% 2.05 -15.3%

BTTS 61.5% 67.6% 1.48 -9.0%

Home O1.5 61.8% 71.4% 1.40 -13.5%

Away O1.5 30.9% 37.0% 2.70 -16.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.5%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grorud2.1

Stjørdals-Blink1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GRORUD · PPG 2.17

STJØRDALS-BLINK · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Grorud (H) 57.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -14.5%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -0.6%

Stjørdals-Blink (A) 20.4%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Grorud face Stjørdals-Blink in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grorud a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Stjørdals-Blink 20%, so Grorud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Grorud and 1.0 for Stjørdals-Blink (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grorud are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Stjørdals-Blink. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +0.4%.

Grorud vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions