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Inter Turku vs Oulu Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 12:00

Inter Turku

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Oulu

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-112.1%0-25.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.4%1-113.3%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.5%2-17.4%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.1%3-12.7%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% 58.8% 1.70 -27.6%

Draw 30.4% 28.6% 3.50 +6.4%

Away win 27.0% 21.7% 4.60 +14.5%

Over 2.5 43.2% 51.8% 1.93 -16.6%

Over 3.5 22.8% 30.3% 3.30 -14.9%

BTTS 47.8% 55.6% 1.80 -14.0%

Home O1.5 37.4% 54.1% 1.85 -30.8%

Away O1.5 25.5% 27.0% 3.70 -3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 25.6%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 15.4%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku1.1

Oulu0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.33

OULU · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=42.6%

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku (H) 42.6%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -27.6%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +6.4%

Oulu (A) 27.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku face Oulu in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku a 43% chance, the draw 30% and Oulu 27%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Inter Turku and 0.9 for Oulu (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Oulu. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Inter Turku vs Oulu Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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