Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Croatia - HNL
Regular Season - 30
Stadion Aldo Drosina· Pula
Saturday, April 18, 2026
16:45
Istra
PPG 1.36
1-2
MISS
Vukovar
PPG 0.21
Home· +47.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
66.2%
Odds: 2.22
EV: +47.0%
Draw
19.9%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -32.3%
Away
13.9%
Odds: 2.92
EV: -59.4%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
55.2%
Odds: 1.90
+4.9%
Over 3.5
32.9%
Odds: 3.25
+6.9%
BTTS
49.1%
Odds: 1.67
-18.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Istra
2.07
Vukovar
0.83
Model Suggestion
Home
+47.0%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in AVERAGE form (1.36), Away POOR (0.21) - Strong consensus