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Croatia - HNL logo Croatia flag Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 30 Stadion Aldo Drosina· Pula Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:45
Istra logo Istra PPG 1.36
1-2 MISS
Vukovar logo Vukovar PPG 0.21
Home· +47.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.2%
Odds: 2.22 EV: +47.0%
Draw 19.9%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -32.3%
Away 13.9%
Odds: 2.92 EV: -59.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.2% Odds: 1.90 +4.9%
Over 3.5 32.9% Odds: 3.25 +6.9%
BTTS 49.1% Odds: 1.67 -18.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Istra
2.07
Vukovar
0.83

Model Suggestion

Home +47.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.36), Away POOR (0.21) - Strong consensus

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