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Suduva vs Banga Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:15

Suduva

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Banga

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-113.3%0-25.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.2%1-113.1%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.4%2-16.4%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-12.1%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 41.7% 2.40 +5.4%

Draw 31.6% 35.7% 2.80 -11.5%

Away win 24.5% 34.5% 2.90 -17.4%

Over 2.5 37.8% 42.0% 2.38 -10.0%

Over 3.5 18.9% 22.2% 4.50 -9.0%

BTTS 47.8% 51.3% 1.95 -6.8%

Home O1.5 36.7% 36.4% 2.75 +0.9%

Away O1.5 24.3% 29.4% 3.40 -10.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.8%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.5%

#2 1–0 17.2%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suduva1.0

Banga0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDUVA · PPG 2.25

BANGA · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=43.9%

Win probability 1X2

Suduva (H) 43.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +5.4%

Draw 31.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.5%

Banga (A) 24.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suduva face Banga in Lithuania - A Lyga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suduva a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Banga 25%, so Suduva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Suduva and 0.8 for Banga (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suduva are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.38 for Banga. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Suduva vs Banga Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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