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Olympic vs Laholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 12 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:00

Olympic

PPG 1.20 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Laholm

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.0%0-22.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.4%1-18.7%1-25.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-19.4%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.0%3-16.8%3-24.6%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-16.1%4+-24.1%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.8% 65.4% 1.53 -17.7%

Draw 22.3% 23.8% 4.20 -3.8%

Away win 23.9% 20.8% 4.80 +8.8%

Over 2.5 64.9% 69.0% 1.45 -5.9%

Over 3.5 42.2% 46.5% 2.15 -9.3%

BTTS 63.7% 66.7% 1.50 -4.5%

Home O1.5 61.0% 70.4% 1.42 -13.4%

Away O1.5 33.0% 35.7% 2.80 -7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -2.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.7%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.3 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.0%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic2.2

Laholm1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC · PPG 1.20

LAHOLM · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Olympic (H) 53.8%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -17.7%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.8%

Laholm (A) 23.9%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic face Laholm in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Laholm 24%, so Olympic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Olympic and 1.3 for Laholm (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.50 for Laholm. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.8%. This match finished 3-2.

Olympic vs Laholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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