← Back to picks

Angelholm vs Utsikten Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Sweden - Ettan - Södra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 12 Saturday, June 13, 2026 11:00
Angelholm logo Angelholm PPG 0.67
VS PENDING
Utsikten logo Utsikten PPG 0.60
Home + Over 2.5· +8.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Angelholm face Utsikten in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angelholm a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Utsikten 20%, so Angelholm are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Angelholm and 0.8 for Utsikten (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angelholm are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.60 for Utsikten. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.3%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -13.7%
Draw 21.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -6.9%
Away 20.1%
Odds: 5.60 EV: +7.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.9% Odds: 1.65 +0.5%
Over 3.5 39.3% Odds: 2.60 +2.2%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.73 -9.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Angelholm
2.31
Utsikten
0.80

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +0.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+8.0%)

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -8.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.60)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org