Wollongong W. vs APIA Leichhardt Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong W. face APIA Leichhardt in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong W. a 34% chance, the draw 30% and APIA Leichhardt 37%, so APIA Leichhardt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Wollongong W. and 1.2 for APIA Leichhardt (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong W. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.75 for APIA Leichhardt. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +45.1%.