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Inter Lions vs Prospect United Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Inter Lions

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Prospect United

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 67.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-17.8%0-24.7%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.8%1-111.9%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.2%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.8%3-14.7%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 52.4% 1.91 -11.9%

Draw 25.1% 26.7% 3.75 -3.5%

Away win 28.8% 32.3% 3.10 -6.4%

Over 2.5 53.9% 61.7% 1.62 -12.7%

Over 3.5 33.8% 42.9% 2.33 -21.3%

BTTS 55.4% 67.1% 1.49 -17.4%

Home O1.5 46.3% 58.1% 1.72 -20.4%

Away O1.5 36.9% 42.6% 2.35 -13.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.4%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Lions1.5

Prospect United1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER LIONS · PPG 1.33

PROSPECT UNITED · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Inter Lions (H) 46.1%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -11.9%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -3.5%

Prospect United (A) 28.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Lions face Prospect United in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Lions a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Prospect United 29%, so Inter Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Inter Lions and 1.2 for Prospect United (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Lions are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.83 for Prospect United.

Inter Lions vs Prospect United Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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